Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001674 0.001769 0.001867 0.001976 0.002093 0.002216 0.002355
2025-05-25 0.001502 0.001633 0.001775 0.001937 0.002121 0.002321 0.002559
2025-06-01 0.001389 0.001544 0.001715 0.001918 0.002155 0.002423 0.002752
2025-06-08 0.001319 0.001493 0.001689 0.001928 0.002214 0.002549 0.002974
2025-06-15 0.001248 0.001433 0.001646 0.001911 0.002237 0.002627 0.003138
2025-06-22 0.001193 0.001387 0.001615 0.001904 0.002267 0.002712 0.003310
2025-06-29 0.001139 0.001339 0.001577 0.001885 0.002278 0.002772 0.003451
2025-07-06 0.001089 0.001293 0.001540 0.001863 0.002282 0.002819 0.003575
2025-07-13 0.001033 0.001236 0.001484 0.001814 0.002250 0.002816 0.003628
2025-07-20 0.001005 0.001214 0.001472 0.001820 0.002286 0.002904 0.003810
2025-07-27 0.000983 0.001197 0.001465 0.001831 0.002330 0.003003 0.004011
2025-08-03 0.000970 0.001192 0.001473 0.001862 0.002400 0.003141 0.004277
2025-08-10 0.000943 0.001169 0.001457 0.001863 0.002434 0.003235 0.004492
2025-08-17 0.000905 0.001130 0.001421 0.001835 0.002425 0.003267 0.004616
2025-08-24 0.000875 0.001101 0.001395 0.001819 0.002433 0.003323 0.004781
2025-08-31 0.000856 0.001085 0.001388 0.001828 0.002477 0.003434 0.005040
2025-09-07 0.000830 0.001059 0.001364 0.001813 0.002483 0.003488 0.005209
2025-09-14 0.000809 0.001038 0.001347 0.001807 0.002501 0.003561 0.005413
2025-09-21 0.000785 0.001013 0.001323 0.001789 0.002501 0.003604 0.005569
2025-09-28 0.000761 0.000988 0.001297 0.001768 0.002495 0.003636 0.005706
2025-10-05 0.000731 0.000952 0.001257 0.001723 0.002449 0.003601 0.005721
2025-10-12 0.000718 0.000941 0.001250 0.001728 0.002482 0.003698 0.005981
2025-10-19 0.000707 0.000933 0.001247 0.001738 0.002524 0.003810 0.006280